Science is settled? But what if no one can replicate the experiments?

We are told by politicians that the science is settled with regard to climate change. We are also told by scientists that to criticise them is to provide a chilling effect on science. Some of those scientists even trot off to court to try to silence critics.

However, it appears the science is far from settled…especially when no one can replicate experiments or the claims made in these so-called peer-reviewed papers they submit to journals like Nature.

Science is facing a “reproducibility crisis” where more than two-thirds of researchers have tried and failed to reproduce another scientist’s experiments, research suggests.

This is frustrating clinicians and drug developers who want solid foundations of pre-clinical research to build upon.

From his lab at the University of Virginia’s Centre for Open Science, immunologist Dr Tim Errington runs The Reproducibility Project, which attempted to repeat the findings reported in five landmark cancer studies.

“The idea here is to take a bunch of experiments and to try and do the exact same thing to see if we can get the same results.”

You could be forgiven for thinking that should be easy. Experiments are supposed to be replicable.

The authors should have done it themselves before publication, and all you have to do is read the methods section in the paper and follow the instructions.

Sadly nothing, it seems, could be further from the truth.  

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Rodney Hide on Climate Change

Rodney calls time on the busted flush that is the climate change industry:

The glaciers are retreating. The glaciers are retreating. Humans are cooking the planet!

Hang on, the glaciers are advancing. They’re advancing. Humans are cooking the planet!

That’s the conclusion of NIWA and Victoria University scientists in a paper published in Nature Communications this month. I am summarising their findings.

Here’s the background: at least 58 New Zealand glaciers advanced for the 25 years between 1983 and 2008, with Fox and Franz Josef glaciers advancing almost continuously during the period.

That advance is neither here nor there in the debate about whether burning fossil fuels is dangerously cooking the planet.   Read more »

Beggars can’t be choosers, but they can be fraudsters

I bet this ratbag isn’t the only fraud supposedly begging on the streets.

A Hastings beggar was convicted of fraud yesterday after he claimed to be homeless when he was not.

Police confirmed Frank Lovich’s case was heard in the Hastings District Court yesterday.   Read more »


Get used to wearing orange, fatty

Get used to wearing orange, fatty

Bye, bye Fatty, been a pleasure knowing you, not.

Kim Dotcom can be extradited. Next stop Leavenworth, stainless steel jewellery and an orange boiler suit.

Kim Dotcom and his three co-accused are eligible for extradition to the US, the High Court has ruled in a decision just released.

The US Government has been seeking to extradite Dotcom, Mathias Ortmann, Bram van der Kolk and Finn Batato to face trial on 13 counts, including allegations of conspiracy to commit racketeering; copyright infringement; money laundering and wire fraud since 2012.

In the High Court finding released today, Justice Murray Gilbert upheld a decision by the District Court that there were grounds for the quartet to be extradited,   Read more »


Massive climate fraud exposed

I have long held that the ‘science’ isn’t settled and there is, in fact, a large ongoing fraud against all of us with regard to climate change.

Now one of the biggest frauds has been exposed by a whistle-blower.

The Mail on Sunday today reveals astonishing evidence that the organisation that is the world’s leading source of climate data rushed to publish a landmark paper that exaggerated global warming and was timed to influence the historic Paris Agreement on climate change.

A high-level whistleblower has told this newspaper that America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) breached its own rules on scientific integrity when it published the sensational but flawed report, aimed at making the maximum possible impact on world leaders including Barack Obama and David Cameron at the UN climate conference in Paris in 2015.   Read more »

Gifting Circles are actually shaped like a triangle

If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck and looks like a duck…then it is probably a duck.

Or in this case a pyramid scheme.

The Commerce Commission has received seven complaints about gifting circles in New Zealand, but has not investigated any such groups here, it says.

Gifting ‘circles’ involve women paying thousands of dollars to join a group for friendship and spiritual guidance, and are told their money will grow as the circle does.

Christchurch journalist Anke Richter began looking into the groups after she was invited to join one.   Read more »


Seems the science is still not settled

While idiots like Martyn Bradbury exclaim that we are past the tipping point (why bother doing anything then?) it seems that the science isn’t settled and more and more information is showing that the scientists have been wrong for a very long time.

Maybe they’ve even been dishonest.

As climate alarmists rend their garments over fossil fuel emissions, a group of scientists has discovered that the world’s plants have somehow increased their capacity to assimilate carbon, resulting in an actual decline in the percentage of human-produced CO2 remaining in the atmosphere.

Researchers at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory have found to their surprise that despite the increased human emissions of greenhouse gases, between 2002 and 2014, plants were somehow able to absorb more carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere than in previous decades.

In a study published earlier this month in Nature Communications, the researchers note that “terrestrial ecosystems play a significant role in the global carbon cycle and offset a large fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions.”

So, although emissions have not abated, the amount of man-made carbon remaining in the atmosphere has declined.

“That portion that stays in the atmosphere — that’s called the airborne fraction,” said Trevor Keenan, one of the report’s authors, “has reduced by about 20% over the last 15 years.”

Not only that, over the past 50 years, “the amount of CO2 absorbed by the oceans and terrestrial biosphere annually has more than doubled,” the report states, and “global warming over vegetated land notably slowed since the start of the twenty-first century.”

Since the start of the twenty-first century, the researchers state, “the airborne fraction has been declining (−2.2% per year), despite the rapid increase in anthropogenic emissions.”

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Photo of the Day

1534393_10153369876453834_3199743508034097054_nDee Dee Wanted Her Daughter To Be Sick, Gypsy Wanted Her Mother To Be Murdered

Dee Dee Blancharde was a model parent: a tireless single mother taking care of her gravely ill child. But after Dee Dee was killed, it turned out things weren’t as they appeared — and her daughter Gypsy had never been sick at all

For seven years before the murder, Dee Dee and Gypsy Rose Blancharde lived in a small pink bungalow on West Volunteer Way in Springfield, Missouri. Their neighbours liked them. “’Sweet’ is the word I’d use,” a former friend of Dee Dee’s said not too long ago. Once you met them, people said, they were impossible to forget.

Dee Dee was 48 years old, originally from Louisiana. She was a large, affable-looking person, which she reinforced by dressing in bright, cheerful colors. She had curly brown hair she liked to hold back with ribbons. People who knew her remember her as generous with her time and, when she could be, generous with money. She could make friends quickly and inspire deep devotion. She did not have a job, but instead served as a full-time caretaker for Gypsy Rose, her teenage daughter.

Gypsy was a tiny thing, perhaps 5 feet tall as far as anyone could guess. She was confined to a wheelchair. Her round face was overwhelmed by a pair of owlish glasses. She was pale and skinny, and her teeth were crumbling and painful. She had a feeding tube. Sometimes Dee Dee had to drag an oxygen tank around with them, nasal cannula looped around Gypsy’s small ears. Ask about her daughter’s diagnoses, and Dee Dee would reel off a list as long as her arm: chromosomal defects, muscular dystrophy, epilepsy, severe asthma, sleep apnea, eye problems. It had always been this way, Dee Dee said, ever since Gypsy was a baby. She had spent time in neonatal intensive care. She had leukemia as a toddler.

The endless health crises had taken a toll. Gypsy was friendly, talkative even, but her voice was high and childlike. Dee Dee would often remind people that her daughter had brain damage. She had to be homeschooled, because she’d never be able to keep up with other kids. Gypsy had the mind of a child of 7, Dee Dee said. It was important to remember that in dealing with her. She loved princess outfits and dressing up. She wore wigs and hats to cover her small head. A curly, blonde Cinderella number seems to have been her favourite. She’s wearing it in so many photographs of herself with her mother. She was always with her mother.

“We are a pair of shoes,” Gypsy once said. “Never good without the other.”

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Fundraising pages should require authentication to prevent fraud

After a man named Philando Castile was shot and killed by a Minnesota police officer, a number of GoFundMe pages were started claiming to be raising funds for his family.

One page claimed to be set up by a friend of the dead man’s fiancee to support her and her daughter. So far it has raised more than $57,000 of its $75,000 goal.

According to the dead man’s mother, not only is this woman not her late-son’s fiance but her son died without children or a fiancee.

“I am so disgusted!! People are trying to capitalise on my son’s tragedy for personal gain through GoFundMe!!!” she wrote. “1st of all Philando Castile does not have children nor a fiancee, the account for the Philando Castile Family is through his Sister’s account Allysza Castile, so Please, if you want to donate go to that account the rest are bogus! ! Shame on You!!!”

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Photo of the Day

Ponzi-Schemes-For-DummiesThe Long Con

Phil Ferguson pulled off one of the biggest frauds in Indiana history, duping clients out of millions of dollars and staying one step ahead of the law.

If you’re trying to escape your past, there have always been two options: You go South, or you go West.

Phil Ferguson went West.

Ferguson, the perpetrator of the biggest Ponzi scheme in Indiana history, with ill-gotten gains estimated at $14 million, wound up with a bullet in his head on a ranch in Eastern Oregon after twelve years on the run. The law had finally caught up, and he took his own life.

But for 10 years as a fugitive he was Roy “Vernon” Cox of Burns, Oregon, beloved surrogate father and honest, penurious rancher (if a bit too enamored of the wrong sorts of ladies), and he left behind people who refuse to think of him as a criminal.

Aside from the holes he left in a lot of people’s bank accounts, the story reveals Ferguson’s legacy to be a cryptic, rambling 70-page manuscript stored in a Portland house where Bush lives with his wife and about 10 others. The book seems to be simultaneously a death note and a treatise on how to make tons of money trading commodities. The Bushes also named their baby after Ferguson’s alias, Vernon, and induced birth so the kid would have Ferguson’s birthday.

 And as for the location of that $14 million? Still a mystery

The day Phil Ferguson killed Vern Cox, late spring was turning to summer in “The Big Empty,” an expanse of high desert in Eastern Oregon where the earth stretched lonesome and wide. By midmorning, temperatures near the remote outpost of Burns, the Harney County seat, were in the 70s, even as the Steens Mountains clung to their snowcaps off in the distance. Center-pivot irrigation systems watered fields of alfalfa. Sagebrush filled the unworked land. Here, a man could see things coming for miles: people, possibilities, trouble.

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