Gavin Schmidt

The science is settled?

We are told constantly that, with respect to Climate Change, the science is settled.

Yet, every time someone looks at that settled science we find lies, mistakes and obfuscation. The science is far from settled, especially when that science uses manipulated data.

A German professor has confirmed what skeptics from Britain to the US have long suspected: that NASA?s Goddard Institute of Space Studies has largely invented ?global warming??by tampering with the raw temperature data records.

Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert is a retired geologist and data computation expert. He has painstakingly examined and tabulated all?NASA GISS?s temperature data series, taken from 1153 stations and going back to 1881. His conclusion: that if you look at the raw data, as opposed to NASA?s revisions, you?ll find that?since 1940 the planet has been cooling, not warming.

According to G?nter Ederer, the German journalist who has reported on Ewert?s findings:

From the publicly available data, Ewert made an unbelievable discovery: Between the years 2010 and 2012 the data measured since 1881 were altered so that they showed a significant warming, especially after 1950. [?] A comparison of the data from 2010 with the data of 2012 shows that?NASA-GISS had altered its own datasets so that especially after WWII a clear warming appears ??although it never existed. ? Read more »

The dishonesty of our manipulated temperature records

James Delingpole explains the inherent dishonesty of climate change proponents and their manipulated temperature records.

How can we believe in ?global warming? when the temperature records providing the ?evidence? for that warming cannot be trusted?

It?s a big question ? and one which many people, even on the sceptical side of the argument, are reluctant to ask.

[…]

[B]efore I go into technical detail about why the temperature records are suspect, let me provide an analogy which ought to make it perfectly clear to any neutral parties reading this why the problem I?m about to describe ought not to be consigned to the realms of crackpottery.

Suppose say, that for the last 100 years my family have been maintaining a weather station at the bottom of our garden, diligently recording the temperatures day by day, and that what these records show is this: that in the 1930s it was jolly hot ? even hotter than in the 1980s; that since the 1940s it has been cooling.

What conclusions would you draw from this hard evidence?

Well the obvious one, I imagine, is that the dramatic Twentieth Century warming that people like Al Gore have been banging on about is a crock. At least according to this particular weather station it is.

Now how would you feel if you went and took these temperature records along to one of the world?s leading global warming experts ? say Gavin Schmidt at NASA or Phil Jones at CRU or Michael Mann at Penn State ? and they studied your records for a moment and said: ?This isn?t right.? What if they then crossed out all your temperature measurements, did a few calculations on the back of an envelope, and scribbled in their amendments? And you studied those adjustments and you realised, to your astonishment, that the new, pretend temperature measurements told an entirely different story from the original, real temperature measurements: that where before your records showed a cooling since the 1940s they now showed a warming trend.

You?d be gobsmacked, would you not?

Read more »

Warmest year on record? NASA admits they are only 38% certain of their claim

The left-wing have been clamouring that 2014 was the warmest year on record.

Never mind about the?record sea ice in the warmest year,?dodgy numbers?and?inane tweets from scientists?that have no basis in fact and are actually just more spin.

Now it appears that the media who all clamoured that last year was the warmest on record and the useful idiots on the left who have hyped the NASA report haven’t actually read the report…which says that they are only 38 per cent sure this was true.

The Nasa climate scientists who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth last night admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true.

In a press release on Friday, Nasa?s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) claimed its analysis of world temperatures showed ?2014 was the warmest year on record?.

The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS?s analysis ? based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide ? is subject to a margin of error. Nasa admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all.

Yet the Nasa press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ?record? amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ?warmest year?, of just two-hundredths of a degree ? or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C ? several times as much.

As a result, GISS?s director Gavin Schmidt has now admitted Nasa thinks the likelihood that 2014 was the warmest year since 1880 is just 38 per cent. However, when asked by this newspaper whether he regretted that the news release did not mention this, he did not respond. Another analysis, from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project, drawn from ten times as many measuring stations as GISS, concluded that if 2014 was a record year, it was by an even tinier amount.

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Top Ten Reasons for the “Pause” in global warming

via Watts Up With That

The latest theory for the “pause” in global warming is…wait for it…coincidence. I kid you not…now there are 10 supposed reason for the “pause”…here they are:

There is a new paper by Gavin Schmidt et al that comes in as #10 in the growing list of explanations for ?the pause?. Now that we have a top ten list, let?s review:

  1. New study claims hi caused ?the pause? in global temperature ? but AGW will return!
  2. THE OCEANS ATE OUR GLOBAL WARMING!?Trenberth and Fasullo, 2013. But the heat will come back when you least expect it.
  3. Chinese coal caused the ?pause?, published in?the?proceedings of the National Academy of Science. The?study blamed Chinese coal use?for the lack of global warming. Global warming proponents essentially claimed that coal use is saving us from dangerous global warming. Kaufmann et al 2011.
  4. The?Montreal Protocol caused the ?pause?,?which reduced CFC?s ? but warming will return soon. Estrada 2013.
  5. Cowtan and Way?s (2013) underrepresented Arctic stations get adjustment to fiddle the numbers so that ?pause? never existed, but?not so fast. It seems all?isn?t quite as it seems. Dr. Judith Curry?doesn?t think much of it either. ?? Read more »
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