Greenhouse effect

Uh oh, looks like the math was wrong, way wrong on climate models

The Climate Change debate is over…the science is really settled now…and in settling it it shows that the math was wrong in all the models.

A MATHEMATICAL discovery by Perth-based electrical engineer Dr David Evans may change everything about the climate debate, on the eve of the UN climate change conference in Paris next month.

A former climate modeller for the Government?s Australian Greenhouse Office, with six degrees in applied mathematics, Dr Evans has unpacked the architecture of the basic climate model which underpins all climate science.

He has found that, while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly.

He has fixed two errors and the new corrected model finds the climate?s sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) is much lower than was thought.

It turns out the UN?s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has over-estimated future global warming by as much as 10 times, he says.

?Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it?s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is. CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20 per cent of the global warming in the last few decades?.

Dr Evans says his discovery ?ought to change the world?.

?But the political obstacles are massive,? he said. ? Read more »