Julia Haydon-Carr

Why Labour will hurt and they don’t know it yet

On the surface Labour’s lowest ever result since 1928 is bad but manageable.

However if you look beyond the headline numbers and into the electorates you can see the terrible legacy Phil Goff has gifted the Labour party.

The recent result in Waitakere has only compounded the issue.

In a number of seats Labour have lost their local list MP for good. Take Rotorua, for instance, Todd McClay saw off Steve Chadwick for the?second?and last?time. Labour’s poor showing in the?party?vote means Steve Chadwick is now handing in her gear and looking for a job. She won’t have an office and neither will labour in Rotorua for three years. In the local press they won;t have to go and seek comment on issues from the local Labour person because they simply don’t exist. For the next three years the only MP commenting on local issues in Rotorua will be Todd McClay.

Napier is the same. Stuart Nash ran a robust campaign and really pushed Chris Tremain. However Tremain prevailed and Labour’s poor party vote now sees Stuart Nash seeking a job as Chief of Staff in Wellington to David Shearer. He won’t be back. Labour loses a spokesperson in the Bay and an office and Chris Tremain will now enjoy unfettered press coverage for three years straight. His majority will bounce back like Craig Foss who enjoyed a similar holiday from a Labour?list?stalker. Julia Haydon-Carr faced an insurmountable challenge of overcoming the man with the gay ute, Craig Foss, who did not have Julia stalking him for three years like Nash stalked Tremain.

Paula Bennett has now seen off Carmel Sepuloni in Waitakere. Labour loses an office and a list MP who can dog her every move in Waitakere. Labour again through its poor party vote loses exposure, resources and personnel and cedes the argument to National in a key electorate.

In Christchurch Central, Nicky Wagner will likewise enjoy having no Labour list MP dogging her as Brendan Burns at number 29 on Labour’s list was left stranded high and dry. Nicky will now be able to cement her position as National’s voice in Christchurch, an island of blue in a sea of red. Labour loses their office and their voice which will have to be picked up and shared by others. Perhaps Clayton Cosgrove, after his defeat in Waimakiriri might establish a presence, but it will never be a full time one.

Sam Lotu Iiga in Maungakiekie also will enjoy not having Carol Beaumont stalk his every move. He will be hoping that no labour list MPs quit and that David Shearer will tell Beaumont that the face doesn’t fit but until then he too can enjoy an electorate without a Labour office ruining the view.

Losing those resources in key areas makes it very difficult to turn things around in 2014. Labour has less presence, less resources and they must spread thinly to ensure coverage. They don’t realise the significance yet of their decision to keep Goff at the helm so that he could do to Labour what Bill English did to national in 2002. Even the leaders office will suffer cutbacks due to the reduced vote. Some in the Goffice will be very nervous, not just because they were wedded to the disaster that was Phil Goff but because there simply isn’t enough cash now to retain them all.

This is the mess that Labour has inherited, but worse this is the mess they have charged a political novice with fixing. Does David Shearer have an Orewa speech in him? I don’t think so.

Labour Candidates with Grace

Yes it does seem hard to believe, but some from the Nasty Party actually do have grace. Conceding in person is considered decent, but not often done by Labour. I?ve personally been along to Labour election night parties to support conceding National politicians, and had all sorts of shit hurled at me, but I have never seen a Labour candidate concede, ever. It is a rare sight.

Jacinda Ardern nearly beat Nikki Kaye, and in theory might win on specials. Even so she conceded in person showing grace that may well get her kicked out of Labour, but good on her for having the guts to front a National election night party when her party has taken an absolute bath.

In Tukituki Julia Haydon-Carr also conceded in person, and the tipline says managed to warm up the crowd by saying she didn?t mind losing to National but she did mind losing to a man with a gay ute. I reckon if she had made more of the “gay ute” issue she may well have swayed more of the?bogan demographic into backing her. Her campaign vehicle next time should be a proper ute in order to shame Fossy.

Julia?s position on gay utes means joins Josie Pagani as Whaleoil endorsed left wing candidates.

Labour’s future

Readers from around the country have pointed out that they in a massive change for Labour they actually have women candidates who arent afraid of being feminine and looking good. The old standard of looking like the offspring of Worzel Gummidge?and one of the witches from MacBeth seems to no longer apply.

None of these women below will be elected in 2011 but the tipline says they are personable women who relate well to people and don?t have a big chip on their shoulder. They could be just the people to bring middle New Zealand back to Labour if only the new leader can clean out the deadwood and the talentless self servers and members of the gaggle.

Paula Gillion is running in Northcote:

Sehai Orgad is running in Hamilton East so Cancer has probably tried it on and he is known to only go for the lookers. While Annette King and Steve Chadwick have faces that curdle mother’s milk Sehai looks positively super-model like in contrast.

Julia Haydon-Carr is running in Tukituki:

Good on them for realising that modern New Zealand has moved on, and that being a woman in politics doesn?t mean you have to look like you have copped the tart tit.