NIWA

Rodney Hide on Climate Change

Rodney calls time on the busted flush that is the climate change industry:

The glaciers are retreating. The glaciers are retreating. Humans are cooking the planet!

Hang on, the glaciers are advancing. They’re advancing. Humans are cooking the planet!

That’s the conclusion of NIWA and Victoria University scientists in a paper published in Nature Communications this month. I am summarising their findings.

Here’s the background: at least 58 New Zealand glaciers advanced for the 25 years between 1983 and 2008, with Fox and Franz Josef glaciers advancing almost continuously during the period.

That advance is neither here nor there in the debate about whether burning fossil fuels is dangerously cooking the planet.   Read more »

In short, the weather has been the hottest yet cold, and glaciers have receded yet grown

Confused?   You will be.

A period where some of New Zealand’s glaciers grew bigger, while those worldwide were shrinking, was likely to have been due to a series of unusually of cold years, according to new research.

At least 58 New Zealand glaciers advanced between 1983 and 2008, with Franz Josef Glacier doing so almost continuously during this time.

Increased rainfall has previously been thought to be the reason.

But a study by Victoria University and Niwa scientists has found that regional climate variability was the likely explanation.

Lead author Associate Professor Andrew Mackintosh says the anomaly between what was happening in New Zealand and the trend overseas hadn’t been satisfactory explained.

“So this physics-based study used computer models for the first time to look into it in detail,” he said.

“We found that lower temperature caused the glaciers to advance, rather than increased precipitation as previously thought.”

Assoc Prof Mackintosh said the reduced temperature was significant enough for the glaciers to grow bigger again in spite of human-induced climate change.

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah, see what he did there?   Can’t you just eat ’em up?  Those scientists can take any situation:  warm or cold, wet or dry and it all leads to human-induced climate change.    Read more »

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Guest post – I am a fisherman, I am conservationist and I’m not a criminal

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Photo/ Supplied

I am proud to be a commercial fisherman.  The fish I have caught has contributed to the NZ economy and kept thousands of Kiwis whether ashore or at sea in employment, a roof over their heads, food on their tables and money to achieve their dreams.

And I’ve had a guts full of being slandered, called a criminal and my integrity questioned by NGOs, environmental groups and other such organisations with political axes to grind and the ever growing need for funding from Mrs Smith donating $5 a week from her housekeeping she can ill afford.

I know my peers throughout the industry feel the same way.  It used to upset me when my children came home from school refusing to eat their fish and chips because teacher said I kill Maui dolphins.  They’re old enough now to see both sides and form their own opinions.

I have never, ever deliberately discarded or dumped fish.  I have lost bags of fish over those 40 odd years through gear failure and because Old Huey, Manawydan Mac Lir, doth smote me mightily but those instances I can count on the fingers of my hands…with a few digits left over.  These accidental losses were recorded.

The deep water trawlers I am currently involved with are the largest on the NZ coast, which depending on the species, have a capacity of around 80-100 tonnes of DRE (dressed) or HGU (headed/gutted) frozen product over a 24 hour period.  If I’m fishing for southern blue whiting for example, 100 tonnes of frozen product equates to 165 tonne of whole fish before processing.

Since the introduction of the QMS, Glenn Simmons claims I have dumped or discarded 2.1 times or 210% more than I actually recorded as having caught.  He would have you believe I am actually catching 511.5 tonnes and discarding 346.5 tonnes back into the sea every 24hrs, day in and day out.

Doesn’t the absurdity of those figures ring alarm bells?  If not they should because I simply cannot catch that much fish; my ship, her fishing gear nor the fish stocks allows me to.  It’s just not possible.   Read more »

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Oh Look, NIWA doesn’t blame global warming for once

Wonders will never cease.

NIWA hasn’t even mentioned global warming or climate change in their release about January temperatures.

Auckland has recorded its warmest January in 70 years, with residents sweltering in unrelenting humid weather.

Warm, humid tropical air flows caused record mean January temperatures in four centres, the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research says.

Auckland recorded a mean air temperature of 20.5degC, its highest since 1945.    Read more »

A newspaper doesn’t know its weather from its climate [UPDATED]

A new climate report has revealed just how extreme last month was in the weather books – not that the rain-soaked residents of Whanganui, Manawatu and Dunedin, or the owners of frozen South Island farms needed any reminding.

A report card issued today by the National Institute of Water and Atmosphere described June as being unsettled on the whole, with storm events affecting different parts of the country.

Along with devastating floods that forced a state of emergency to be declared, temperature gauges in parts of the South Island recorded three of the lowest temperatures ever experienced in New Zealand.

Rainfall was more than the double the June normal in Whanganui, Palmerston North, Central Otago, while Dunedin was drenched in more than three times its normal total for the month.

Instruments set up in the Dunedin suburb of Musselburgh recorded 194ml for the month – 335 per cent of normal – while Dunedin Airport, further out from the city, recorded 158ml. Read more »

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New Zealand weather experts dub 2014 “unremarkable”

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See if you can find the magic words that are deliberately missing

An unusually cold January and warmer June in 2014 did little to skew what was otherwise an unremarkable year for the country’s weather.

The annual climate summary by the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research – NIWA – says the average temperature nationally was 12.8 degrees, down from 13.4 in 2013. Read more »

You need an excuse to move the capital?

AS if there was any need for more reasons to shun Wellington, there has been a new discovery of a previously unknown fault line in the city.

John Key says it is not an excuse to move the capital…like we needed one…I’ve long suggested Waiouru as the capital…it wold cut down on civil servants very quickly.

A previously unknown large fault line has been discovered lying beneath Wellington Harbour, but it is not an excuse to move the capital, Prime Minsiter John Key says.

The fault, capable of generating a maximum earthquake of between magnitude 6.3 and 7.1, was found through the ongoing mapping of the fault system under the capital, the Dominion Post understands.

The active fault is understood to run south from the harbour near Westpac Stadium. Mapping of the fault line through the land is the next step for seismologists.

It is not yet known if it is connected to the Wellington fault, which runs down the Hutt Valley along State Highway 2 and south through Cook Strait.   Read more »

Wouldn’t surprise me if NIWA are just as compromised

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Tony Abbott’s top business adviser says the Bureau of Meteorology is caught up in global warming politics and nothing short of an independent review will dispel suspicions of bias.

Maurice Newman, who chairs the Prime Minister’s Business Advisory Council, is highly critical of the BoM’s process of homogenising climate records.

Mr Newman questioned the way the bureau adjusts historical data, which he equates to manipulation of Australia’s temperature records.

“The stated reasons for homogenisation seem arbitrary,” he wrote in The Australian on Wednesday.

“It should explain why homogenisation consistently turns cooling trends to warming and why pre-1910 records were dropped and, with them, the extreme heatwaves of the Federation drought.”

The same problems here with NIWA that are dropping stations that produce data they aren’t happy with and modify data of other stations.    If you have people modifying the base data, then everything else becomes suspect.   Read more »

Desperate Mayor chokes on his bus fumes

Mayor Brown is fast running out of logical and rational reasons why the exorbitant $3-4 billion city rail tunnel should be built.

With no cash in council coffers due to the staggering debt levels it has fallen into Mayor Brown thinks the rest of New Zealand should pick up the tab for the tunnel through Government funding.

The Government knows the cost benefit analysis is flawed and for $4b it can get a lot more for its money in other projects that benefit more than the 6,000 council workers the rest of the CBD occupants of Auckland.

So it wants genuine rail patronage growth to justify that rail is working and that the expenditure is needed. Because the rail network isn’t overloaded now and is working fine.

Council has for sometime projected a doomsday scenario where congested rail will be over crowded and bogged down by the current terminal use – thus a ‘through link’ is needed.

But who is buying that scenario?

By Council’s own predictions the CBD – which accounts for approximately 16% of workers in Auckland – will only grow by 2% in 20 years. So where is the need?

Brown has tried everything to get funding to no avail. Now in a desperate attempt he states that ‘bus fumes’ are the issue and this spending $3-4 billion to cut back on bus fumes is the answer. Stupidly Fanshawe St is quoted – yet all buses on Fanshawe St go to places the rail doesn’t go to. So they will still be there Mr Brown after a tunnel is built.    Read more »

Haven’t they got plenty already?

NIWA is seeking amateur scientists….snigger.

Jamie Morton reports:

Fancy yourself as a climate scientist?

A new climate science experiment, launched online today, is allowing weather enthusiasts to be part of the picture by lending their computers’ processing power.

Volunteers are being sought for the [email protected] ANZ project, launched today by the National Institute for Water and Atmosphere in collaboration with researchers from the UK and Australia.

It will enable the public to contribute to scientists’ understanding of how climate change might be affecting weather in New Zealand and Australia – and a desktop computer and internet connection is all that’s needed.

NIWA climate scientist and New Zealand programme leader Dr Suzanne Rosier said the initial aim of the project was to improve understanding of how extreme weather conditions such as heatwaves and drought may be changing.  Read more »